Friday, March 11, 2016

Making Sens - What if Trump wins?

CAN any Republican challenger stop the bigoted, bilious and bombastic Donald Trump from amassing sufficient delegates in the primaries and caucuses to become the Republican Party's nominee for the US Presidential election scheduled on Nov 8 this year?
Although Ted Cruz has emerged as the strongest alternative to Trump, the Texas Senator is unlikely to energise the Republican faithful to rally behind him. Although Florida Senator Marco Rubio is the Grand Old Party (GOP) establishment's favoured candidate, he is lagging in the delegate count.
If Trump succeeds in becoming the GOP's standard-bearer, can a man labelled by other Republicans as a con artist, a declasse mountebank and a fraud win against the Democratic contender?
Whether former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton or Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders become the Democratic nominee, both offer conventional policy prescriptions.
Trump's jaw-dropping proposals include building a US$8 billion (RM32.93 billion) wall on the southern border and suggesting Mexico pay for its construction, deporting 11 million illegal immigrants from the US and banning Muslims temporarily from entering America.
Equally headline-grabbing are Trump's rants against women.
Angered by Megyn Kelly's questions about the Republican frontrunner calling women "fat pigs," "dogs" and "disgusting animals," Trump blasted the Fox News anchor for asking "ridiculous" questions during a Fox News debate last August.
"You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes, blood coming out of her wherever. In my opinion, she was off base," Trump ranted.
A more intriguing question: can a Malaysian Trump reach the pinnacle of political power in this country?
Unfortunately, some Trump sound-alikes exist in this country. In response to a complaint by a female Member of Parliament (MP) about a leaking roof in Parliament, her male political opponent – sharing Trump's obsession with female bodily fluids – fired back that she also "leaked" every month.
Some Trump wannabees in this country indulge in name-calling and revel in making outrageous statements – for example, labelling a category of citizens, who have resided in this country for decades, if not centuries, as "pendatang" or immigrants. There is little justification for claiming Malaysian politicians, compared with their American counterparts, are less cringe-worthy.
That last Thursday's televised debate in Detroit involving four Republican contenders, including Trump, descended into vulgarity and was, for long stretches, a juvenile name-calling slugfest underscores the fact that American TV networks expect US presidential aspirants to entertain viewers rather than elucidate policies for voters.
More worrying, Trump's rise as a successful vote-getter stems from the widening income gap in the world's richest economy. Large swathes of American voters are angry because they have gained little benefit from the country's increasing prosperity.
Writing in The Salon, Paul Campos highlighted a clutch of revealing statistics. In 2014, US per capita gross domestic product (GDP) was US$55,185 – nearly double that in 1974. GDP is the total output of goods and services within a country.
During the same 40-year period, the average household income of the bottom 50% of American households barely edged upwards – from US$25,475 in 1974 to US$26,520 in 2014.
"In other words, half the population has gotten essentially none of the extra US$10 trillion of national wealth that the American economy has generated over the past 40 years," Campos noted.
Over the same period, the average household income of the top 5% of American households accelerated almost two-fold from US$187,729 to US$332,347.
For America's 13,000 richest households, comprising an infinitesimal 0.01% of the total population, their annual household income, adjusted for inflation, skyrocketed by about seven-fold during the last four decades – from less than US$5 million to more than US$30 million, Santos wrote.
That American politicians like Trump, by targeting immigrants and religious minorities, have becoming increasing popular is a major concern for developing economies.
"Trump voters don't want to hear that we need a president who will strengthen the safety net or a central banker who will weaken the dollar. They want a strongman who will stick it to their enemies at home and overseas – Putin with a New York accent," Matt O'Brien wrote in Wonkblog.
"It is a combination of anger and fear that does not put people in a particularly reflective frame of mind. This is the politics of the viscera, not the brain," William Galston, Brookings Institute's governance expert says.
In Malaysia, top political leaders have often argued redistributing income should continue to be a major priority, that a widening income gap in this country is a lesser concern.
Trump's rise to pre-eminence in the US suggests complacency on this issue isn't an option.
Time is also running short. Failure to redress this growing disproportionate disparity in wealth – particularly within the same ethnic group – could have significant and adverse political implications in a general election that must be held months after the current Parliament's mandate ends on June 24, 2018.
Opinions expressed in this article are the personal views of the writer and should not be attributed to any organisation she is connected with. She can be contacted at siokchoo@thesundaily.com

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